Articles | Volume 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-16-33-2008
https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-16-33-2008
09 Apr 2008
 | 09 Apr 2008

Process-oriented statistical-dynamical evaluation of LM precipitation forecasts

A. Claußnitzer, I. Langer, P. Névir, E. Reimer, and U. Cubasch

Abstract. The objective of this study is the scale dependent evaluation of precipitation forecasts of the Lokal-Modell (LM) from the German Weather Service in relation to dynamical and cloud parameters. For this purpose the newly designed Dynamic State Index (DSI) is correlated with clouds and precipitation. The DSI quantitatively describes the deviation and relative distance from a stationary and adiabatic solution of the primitive equations. A case study and statistical analysis of clouds and precipitation demonstrates the availability of the DSI as a dynamical threshold parameter. This confirms the importance of imbalances of the atmospheric flow field, which dynamically induce the generation of rainfall.

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