| Volumes Contents of Volume 23 |
www.adv-geosci.net/23/31/2010/
doi:10.5194/adgeo-23-31-2010
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under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Future changes in the relationship of precipitation intensity in Eastern Mediterranean with large scale circulation
1Department of Environmental Physics and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, Athens, Greece
2Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece
Abstract. The objective of this study is to investigate the linkage of large-scale upper air circulation over the greater European area with intense precipitation events over Eastern Mediterranean and then to estimate potential changes in the atmospheric patterns in the future, under global warming conditions. For this purpose, results from the regional climate model HadRM3P and Global Circulation Model HadAM3P have been used for the present period 1960–1990 (control run) and the future period 2070–2100 based on the B2a IPCC emission scenario. For the identification of the precipitation extremes the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII) was employed. Our analysis has shown a notable relation of extreme events with the East Atlantic and Scandinavia teleconnection patterns, as well as the Eastern Mediterranean Pattern (EMP) during the wet period. In the future, similar patterns are found, with different magnitude and position, following the projected changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe.
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Citation: Hatzaki, M., Flocas, H. A., Oikonomou, C., and Giannakopoulos, C.: Future changes in the relationship of precipitation intensity in Eastern Mediterranean with large scale circulation, Adv. Geosci., 23, 31-36, doi:10.5194/adgeo-23-31-2010, 2010. Bibtex EndNote Reference Manager XML
